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伊朗核谈判对加元的影响Iran Nuclear Talks Influence CAD

添加时间:2014-04-28 14:49:12   浏览:次   作者:专业论文网
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论文题目:用international trade的知识去分析article(IB)
论文语言:英语论文 English
代写价格:1000
论文专业:经济
字数:750
学校国家:中国
是否有数据处理要求:是
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论文用于:BA essay 本科课程作业
 
In November 24th, at the Geneva talks on the Iranian nuclear issue, the world powers and Iran to deal with Iran's nuclear issue have a "historic" stage of the protocol. The protocol including Iran to stop more than 5% uranium enrichment, and cut the enriched uranium materials, to stop nuclear R & D projects etc. All countries have welcomed to reach the agreement. American said, it will relax Iran's total about 7 billions dollars of the sanctions, and, if the agreement can be fulfilled, in 6 months time it will no longer launch new sanctions on Iran.
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As shown above, the line A is the foreign exchange supply lines, while the trade surplus is greater, the higher the CAD; line B reflects the exchange rate is high, the demand for foreign exchange will be less. The equilibrium point is spot E, the equilibrium quantity is ED. When Canada affected, its trade surplus narrowed from point spot D to point C, then spot F can be seen, the exchange rate is reduced; and from the spot G can be seen in the increased demand for foreign currency.
 
Fluctuations in exchange refer to the external value of the currency fluctuation, including currency devaluation and revaluation. The exchange rate is a country's currency can be converted into other currency prices. Exchange rate refers to the exchange rate changes, or one currency relative to another currency value change. Many factors of exchange rate changes cause, such as trade, inflation. Iran’s sanctions is relaxed, its crude oil exports will increase. So by the same main crude oil export country of Canada, it is a bad news undoubtedly; rival recovery struck the Canadian export. On the other hand, Iran's oil exports will be restarted, it will release tremendous energy, and international oil prices will go down.
 
Appreciation and depreciation are two types of change in the exchange rate under floating exchange rate system, changes in currency exchange rates of the system at any time under constant supply and demand change. When the foreign exchange Demand outstrips supply, its exchange rate will increase from bottom to top, called appreciation, means that the currency appreciation. When the foreign exchange pile up in excess of requirement, the exchange rate will drop down from the upper, called depreciation, means that the country's currency devaluation. When a country's external current account is in surplus, in the foreign exchange market is shown as the foreign exchange supply is greater than demand, so its currency exchange rate, foreign currency exchange rate decline; conversely, when a country's international spending more than their income, the country is a balance of payments deficit, in the foreign exchange market is that the supply is less than demand for the foreign exchange, the currency exchange rates, foreign currency exchange rate.
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As shown, the supply curve move to the right lower direction, the demand curve move to the left lower direction, so that the original equilibrium exchange rate level in the new foreign exchange supply demand relations are not suitable, so the equilibrium exchange rate will be re generated. Thus, factors affecting the exchange rate change are by moving the foreign exchange supply curve and demand curve to reflect the foreign exchange in the chart. It can be seen: Iran nuclear talks brought the enormous influence on the CAD down. However, psychological factors only under certain market conditions will produce and play. And now, the world economic environment still did not improve; Canada is also part of them. Coupled with Iran's nuclear talks expected, the CAD decline can hardly be avoided.
 
The Canadian economy relies on exports; the export of crude oil, the proportion is very large. The Canadian dollar is hundred-percent commodity currency. As Mark Frey once said: “turn open the spigot for Iranian crude oil production which would obviously impact crude oil prices negatively.”, to Canadian dollar, to the Canadian economy, it would produce a huge negative effect.
 
Oil is the lifeblood of Iran's economy, the decline in output, export and income oil lead to imbalance of trade balance. As Obama said, this is "targeted sanctions". World powers sanctions to force Iran to abandon its nuclear program, but the effect are substantial: produced against the Iran economy. Once the Iran economic sanctions regime because of collapse, it will appear change, and then the country will get more benefit in new Iran. Of course, it is discussed the category of political level.

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论文关键字:伊朗核谈判 Iran Nuclear Talks CAD